Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021961 0.023659 0.025427 0.027407 0.029563 0.031842 0.034435
2025-12-14 0.018976 0.021390 0.024035 0.027154 0.030739 0.034741 0.039561
2025-12-21 0.017174 0.020018 0.023252 0.027218 0.031968 0.037497 0.044456
2025-12-28 0.015732 0.018834 0.022471 0.027072 0.032771 0.039639 0.048603
2026-01-04 0.014641 0.017931 0.021891 0.027039 0.033602 0.041753 0.052741
2026-01-11 0.013796 0.017241 0.021482 0.027132 0.034526 0.043963 0.057061
2026-01-18 0.013048 0.016603 0.021072 0.027158 0.035313 0.045985 0.061204
2026-01-25 0.012453 0.016114 0.020804 0.027321 0.036252 0.048215 0.065718
2026-02-01 0.011756 0.015441 0.020243 0.027041 0.036544 0.049548 0.069024
2026-02-08 0.011070 0.014739 0.019598 0.026592 0.036552 0.050454 0.071735
2026-02-15 0.010539 0.014217 0.019160 0.026394 0.036882 0.051805 0.075139
2026-02-22 0.010040 0.013709 0.018713 0.026147 0.037110 0.052996 0.078346
2026-03-01 0.009576 0.013247 0.018326 0.025997 0.037515 0.054535 0.082294
2026-03-08 0.009120 0.012773 0.017901 0.025770 0.037795 0.055906 0.086084
2026-03-15 0.008785 0.012456 0.017685 0.025833 0.038505 0.057960 0.091086
2026-03-22 0.008420 0.012076 0.017352 0.025696 0.038887 0.059507 0.095341
2026-03-29 0.008111 0.011762 0.017101 0.025665 0.039423 0.061312 0.100130
2026-04-05 0.007856 0.011516 0.016935 0.025753 0.040144 0.063446 0.105608
2026-04-12 0.007601 0.011258 0.016739 0.025777 0.040755 0.065420 0.110924
2026-04-19 0.007394 0.011064 0.016630 0.025931 0.041581 0.067790 0.117096
2026-04-26 0.007103 0.010724 0.016277 0.025667 0.041682 0.068915 0.121062
2026-05-03 0.006793 0.010344 0.015842 0.025243 0.041485 0.069500 0.124045
2026-05-10 0.006553 0.010065 0.015557 0.025057 0.041683 0.070785 0.128429